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1.
BMC Gastroenterol ; 24(1): 137, 2024 Apr 19.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38641789

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: Prediction of lymph node metastasis (LNM) for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) is critical for the treatment regimen and prognosis. We aim to develop and validate machine learning (ML)-based predictive models for LNM in patients with ICC. METHODS: A total of 345 patients with clinicopathological characteristics confirmed ICC from Jan 2007 to Jan 2019 were enrolled. The predictors of LNM were identified by the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and logistic analysis. The selected variables were used for developing prediction models for LNM by six ML algorithms, including Logistic regression (LR), Gradient boosting machine (GBM), Extreme gradient boosting (XGB), Random Forest (RF), Decision tree (DT), Multilayer perceptron (MLP). We applied 10-fold cross validation as internal validation and calculated the average of the areas under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve to measure the performance of all models. A feature selection approach was applied to identify importance of predictors in each model. The heat map was used to investigate the correlation of features. Finally, we established a web calculator using the best-performing model. RESULTS: In multivariate logistic regression analysis, factors including alcoholic liver disease (ALD), smoking, boundary, diameter, and white blood cell (WBC) were identified as independent predictors for LNM in patients with ICC. In internal validation, the average values of AUC of six models ranged from 0.820 to 0.908. The XGB model was identified as the best model, the average AUC was 0.908. Finally, we established a web calculator by XGB model, which was useful for clinicians to calculate the likelihood of LNM. CONCLUSION: The proposed ML-based predicted models had a good performance to predict LNM of patients with ICC. XGB performed best. A web calculator based on the ML algorithm showed promise in assisting clinicians to predict LNM and developed individualized medical plans.


Assuntos
Neoplasias dos Ductos Biliares , Colangiocarcinoma , Humanos , Metástase Linfática , Modelos Estatísticos , Prognóstico , Aprendizado de Máquina , Ductos Biliares Intra-Hepáticos
2.
World J Gastrointest Oncol ; 16(3): 945-967, 2024 Mar 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38577477

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Gastric cancer (GC) is a highly aggressive malignancy with a heterogeneous nature, which makes prognosis prediction and treatment determination difficult. Inflammation is now recognized as one of the hallmarks of cancer and plays an important role in the aetiology and continued growth of tumours. Inflammation also affects the prognosis of GC patients. Recent reports suggest that a number of inflammatory-related biomarkers are useful for predicting tumour prognosis. However, the importance of inflammatory-related biomarkers in predicting the prognosis of GC patients is still unclear. AIM: To investigate inflammatory-related biomarkers in predicting the prognosis of GC patients. METHODS: In this study, the mRNA expression profiles and corresponding clinical information of GC patients were obtained from the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) database (GSE66229). An inflammatory-related gene prognostic signature model was constructed using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator Cox regression model based on the GEO database. GC patients from the GSE26253 cohort were used for validation. Univariate and multivariate Cox analyses were used to determine the independent prognostic factors, and a prognostic nomogram was established. The calibration curve and the area under the curve based on receiver operating characteristic analysis were utilized to evaluate the predictive value of the nomogram. The decision curve analysis results were plotted to quantify and assess the clinical value of the nomogram. Gene set enrichment analysis was performed to explore the potential regulatory pathways involved. The relationship between tumour immune infiltration status and risk score was analysed via Tumour Immune Estimation Resource and CIBERSORT. Finally, we analysed the association between risk score and patient sensitivity to commonly used chemotherapy and targeted therapy agents. RESULTS: A prognostic model consisting of three inflammatory-related genes (MRPS17, GUF1, and PDK4) was constructed. Independent prognostic analysis revealed that the risk score was a separate prognostic factor in GC patients. According to the risk score, GC patients were stratified into high- and low-risk groups, and patients in the high-risk group had significantly worse prognoses according to age, sex, TNM stage and Lauren type. Consensus clustering identified three subtypes of inflammation that could predict GC prognosis more accurately than traditional grading and staging. Finally, the study revealed that patients in the low-risk group were more sensitive to certain drugs than were those in the high-risk group, indicating a link between inflammation-related genes and drug sensitivity. CONCLUSION: In conclusion, we established a novel three-gene prognostic signature that may be useful for predicting the prognosis and personalizing treatment decisions of GC patients.

3.
Heliyon ; 10(6): e27566, 2024 Mar 30.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38515706

RESUMO

Background: Osteosarcoma (OSA) is the most prevalent form of malignant bone tumor in children and adolescents, producing osteoid and immature bone. Numerous high quality studies have been published in the OSA field, however, no bibliometric study related to this area has been reported thus far. Therefore, the present study retrieved the published data from 2000 to 2022 to reveal the dynamics, development trends, hotspots and future directions of the OSA. Methods: Publications regard to osteogenic sarcoma and prognosis were searched in the core collection on Web of Science database. The retrieved publications were analyzed by publication years, journals, categories, countries, citations, institutions, authors, keywords and clusters using the two widely available bibliometric visualization tools, VOS viewer (Version 1.6.16), Citespace (Version 6.2. R1). Results: A total of 6260 publications related to the current topic were retrieved and analyzed, revealing exponential increase in the number of publications with an improvement in the citations on the OSA over time, in which China and the USA are the most productive nations. Shanghai Jiao Tong University, University of Texas System and Harvard University are prolific institutions, having highest collaboration network. Oncology Letters and Journal of Clinical Oncology are the most productive and the most cited journals respectively. The Wang Y is a prominent author and articles published by Bacci G had the highest number of citations indicating their significant impact in the field. According to keywords analysis, osteosarcoma, expression and metastasis were the most apparent keywords whereas the current research hotspots are biomarker, tumor microenvironment, immunotherapy and DNA methylation. Conclusion: Our findings offer valuable information for researchers to understand the current research status and the necessity of future research to mitigate the mortality of the OS patients.

4.
BMC Gastroenterol ; 24(1): 1, 2024 Jan 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38166611

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Cholangiocarcinoma (CCA) is a highly malignant and easily metastatic bile duct tumor with poor prognosis. We aimed at studying the associated risk factors affecting distal metastasis of CCA and using nomogram to guide clinicians in predicting distal metastasis of CCA. METHODS: Based on inclusion and exclusion criteria, 345 patients with CCA were selected from the Fifth Medical Center of Chinese PLA General Hospital and were divided into distal metastases (N = 21) and non-distal metastases (N = 324). LASSO regression models were used to screen for relevant parameters and to compare basic clinical information between the two groups of patients. Risk factors for distal metastasis were identified based on the results of univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses. The nomogram was established based on the results of multivariate logistic regression, and we drawn the corresponding correlation heat map. The predictive accuracy of the nomogram was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and calibration plots. The utility of the model in clinical applications was illustrated by applying decision curve analysis (DCA), and overall survival(OS) analysis was performed using the method of Kaplan-meier. RESULTS: This study identified 4 independent risk factors for distal metastasis of CCA, including CA199, cholesterol, hypertension and margin invasion, and developed the nomogram based on this. The result of validation showed that the model had significant accuracy for diagnosis with the area under ROC (AUC) of 0.882 (95% CI: 0.843-0.914). Calibration plots and DCA showed that the model had high clinical utility. CONCLUSIONS: This study established and validated a model of nomogram for predicting distal metastasis in patients with CCA. Based on this, it could guide clinicians to make better decisions and provide more accurate prognosis and treatment for patients with CCA.


Assuntos
Neoplasias dos Ductos Biliares , Colangiocarcinoma , Humanos , Modelos Estatísticos , Prognóstico , Ductos Biliares Intra-Hepáticos
5.
Front Endocrinol (Lausanne) ; 14: 1165178, 2023.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38075055

RESUMO

Objective: Acute ischemic stroke (AIS) brings an increasingly heavier economic burden nowadays. Prolonged length of stay (LOS) is a vital factor in healthcare expenditures. The aim of this study was to predict prolonged LOS in AIS patients based on an interpretable machine learning algorithm. Methods: We enrolled AIS patients in our hospital from August 2017 to July 2019, and divided them into the "prolonged LOS" group and the "no prolonged LOS" group. Prolonged LOS was defined as hospitalization for more than 7 days. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression was applied to reduce the dimensionality of the data. We compared the predictive capacity of extended LOS in eight different machine learning algorithms. SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) values were used to interpret the outcome, and the most optimal model was assessed by discrimination, calibration, and clinical utility. Results: Prolonged LOS developed in 149 (22.0%) of the 677 eligible patients. In eight machine learning algorithms, prolonged LOS was best predicted by the Gaussian naive Bayes (GNB) model, which had a striking area under the curve (AUC) of 0.878 ± 0.007 in the training set and 0.857 ± 0.039 in the validation set. The variables sorted by the gap values showed that the strongest predictors were pneumonia, dysphagia, thrombectomy, and stroke severity. High net benefits were observed at 0%-76% threshold probabilities, while good agreement was found between the observed and predicted probabilities. Conclusions: The model using the GNB algorithm proved excellent for predicting prolonged LOS in AIS patients. This simple model of prolonged hospitalization could help adjust policies and better utilize resources.


Assuntos
AVC Isquêmico , Humanos , Tempo de Internação , AVC Isquêmico/terapia , Teorema de Bayes , Modelos Estatísticos , Prognóstico , Algoritmos , Aprendizado de Máquina
6.
J Multidiscip Healthc ; 16: 3825-3831, 2023.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38084123

RESUMO

Objective: ChatGPT, an advanced language model developed by OpenAI, holds the opportunity to bring about a transformation in the processing of clinical decision-making within the realm of medicine. Despite the growing popularity of research related on ChatGPT, there is a paucity of research assessing its appropriateness for clinical decision support. Our study delved into ChatGPT's ability to respond in accordance with the diagnoses found in case reports, with the intention of serving as a reference for clinical decision-making. Methods: We included 147 case reports from the Chinese Medical Association Journal Database that generated primary and secondary diagnoses covering various diseases. Each question was independently posed three times to both GPT-3.5 and GPT-4.0, respectively. The results were analyzed regarding ChatGPT's mean scores and accuracy types. Results: GPT-4.0 displayed moderate accuracy in primary diagnoses. With the increasing number of input, a corresponding enhancement in the accuracy of ChatGPT's outputs became evident. Notably, autoimmune diseases comprised the largest proportion of case reports, and the mean score for primary diagnosis exhibited statistically significant differences in autoimmune diseases. Conclusion: Our finding suggested that the potential practicality in utilizing ChatGPT for clinical decision-making. To enhance the accuracy of ChatGPT, it is necessary to integrate it with the existing electronic health record system in the future.

7.
World J Gastroenterol ; 29(46): 6076-6088, 2023 Dec 14.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38130743

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: A significant relationship between gastric cancer (GC) and depression has been found in the last 20 years. However, there is no comprehensive information that helps researchers find popular and potential research directions on GC and depression. AIM: To determine the research status and hotspots by bibliometric analysis of relevant publications on the relationship between GC and depression. METHODS: We used the Web of Science Core Collection to search and collate the literature on GC and depression from 2000 to 2022 on 31 May, 2023. Then, visualization analysis was performed using VOSviewer software (version 1.6.19) and the Bibliometrix package in R software. RESULTS: We retrieved 153 pertinent publications from 2000 to 2022. The annual publication count showed an overall upward trend. China had the most prominent publications and significant contributions to this field (n = 64, 41.83%). Before 2020, most studies focused on "the effect of GC on the development and progression of depression in patients." The latest research trends indicate that "the effect of depression on the occurrence and development of GC and its mechanism" will receive more attention in the future. CONCLUSION: The study of "the effect of depression on the occurrence and development of GC and its mechanism" has emerged as a novel research theme over the past two years, which may become a research hotspot in this field. This study provides new insights into the hotpots and frontiers of the relationship between GC and depression, potentially guiding researchers toward hot research topics in the future.


Assuntos
Neoplasias Gástricas , Humanos , Neoplasias Gástricas/epidemiologia , Depressão/epidemiologia , Bibliometria , China/epidemiologia , Software
8.
PeerJ ; 11: e16485, 2023.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38130920

RESUMO

Background: The occurrence of distant metastases (DM) limits the overall survival (OS) of patients with chondrosarcoma (CS). Early diagnosis and treatment of CS remains a great challenge in clinical practice. The aim of this study was to investigate metastatic factors and develop a risk stratification model for clinicians' decision-making. Methods: Six machine learning (ML) algorithms, including logistic regression (LR), plain Bayesian classifier (NBC), decision tree (DT), random forest (RF), gradient boosting machine (GBM) and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost). A 10-fold cross-validation was performed for each model separately, multicenter data was used as external validation, and the best (highest AUC) model was selected to build the network calculator. Results: A total of 1,385 patients met the inclusion criteria, including 82 (5.9%) patients with metastatic CS. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that the risk of DM was significantly higher in patients with higher pathologic grades, T-stage, N-stage, and non-left primary lesions, as well as those who did not receive surgery and chemotherapy. The AUC of the six ML algorithms for predicting DM ranged from 0.911-0.985, with the extreme gradient enhancement algorithm (XGBoost) having the highest AUC. Therefore, we used the XGB model and uploaded the results to an online risk calculator for estimating DM risk. Conclusions: In this study, combined with adequate SEER case database and external validation with data from multicenter institutions in different geographic regions, we confirmed that CS, T, N, laterality, and grading of surgery and chemotherapy were independent risk factors for DM. Based on the easily available clinical risk factors, machine learning algorithms built the XGB model that predicts the best outcome for DM. An online risk calculator helps simplify the patient assessment process and provides decision guidance for precision medicine and long-term cancer surveillance, which contributes to the interpretability of the model.


Assuntos
Neoplasias Ósseas , Condrossarcoma , Humanos , Teorema de Bayes , Neoplasias Ósseas/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Ósseas/patologia , Condrossarcoma/diagnóstico , Condrossarcoma/patologia , Aprendizado de Máquina , Estudos Retrospectivos , Metástase Neoplásica
9.
Front Med (Lausanne) ; 10: 1237229, 2023.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37780569

RESUMO

Background and aims: Heart failure (HF) is a significant cause of in-hospital mortality, especially for the elderly admitted to intensive care units (ICUs). This study aimed to develop a web-based calculator to predict 30-day in-hospital mortality for elderly patients with HF in the ICU and found a relationship between risk factors and the predicted probability of death. Methods and results: Data (N = 4450) from the MIMIC-III/IV database were used for model training and internal testing. Data (N = 2,752) from the eICU-CRD database were used for external validation. The Brier score and area under the curve (AUC) were employed for the assessment of the proposed nomogram. Restrictive cubic splines (RCSs) found the cutoff values of variables. The smooth curve showed the relationship between the variables and the predicted probability of death. A total of 7,202 elderly patients with HF were included in the study, of which 1,212 died. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that 30-day mortality of HF patients in ICU was significantly associated with heart rate (HR), 24-h urine output (24h UOP), serum calcium, blood urea nitrogen (BUN), NT-proBNP, SpO2, systolic blood pressure (SBP), and temperature (P < 0.01). The AUC and Brier score of the nomogram were 0.71 (0.67, 0.75) and 0.12 (0.11, 0.15) in the testing set and 0.73 (0.70, 0.75), 0.13 (0.12, 0.15), 0.65 (0.62, 0.68), and 0.13 (0.12, 0.13) in the external validation set, respectively. The RCS plot showed that the cutoff values of variables were HR of 96 bmp, 24h UOP of 1.2 L, serum calcium of 8.7 mg/dL, BUN of 30 mg/dL, NT-pro-BNP of 5121 pg/mL, SpO2 of 93%, SBP of 137 mmHg, and a temperature of 36.4°C. Conclusion: Decreased temperature, decreased SpO2, decreased 24h UOP, increased NT-proBNP, increased serum BUN, increased or decreased SBP, fast HR, and increased or decreased serum calcium increase the predicted probability of death. The web-based nomogram developed in this study showed good performance in predicting 30-day in-hospital mortality for elderly HF patients in the ICU.

10.
Front Med (Lausanne) ; 10: 1239056, 2023.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37869159

RESUMO

Background: Dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM) is a progressive heart condition characterized by ventricular dilatation and impaired myocardial contractility with a high mortality rate. The molecular characterization of DCM has not been determined yet. Therefore, it is crucial to discover potential biomarkers and therapeutic options for DCM. Methods: The hub genes for the DCM were screened using Weighted Gene Co-expression Network Analysis (WGCNA) and three different algorithms in Cytoscape. These genes were then validated in a mouse model of doxorubicin (DOX)-induced DCM. Based on the validated hub genes, a prediction model and a neural network model were constructed and validated in a separate dataset. Finally, we assessed the diagnostic efficiency of hub genes and their relationship with immune cells. Results: A total of eight hub genes were identified. Using RT-qPCR, we validated that the expression levels of five key genes (ASPN, MFAP4, PODN, HTRA1, and FAP) were considerably higher in DCM mice compared to normal mice, and this was consistent with the microarray results. Additionally, the risk prediction and neural network models constructed from these genes showed good accuracy and sensitivity in both the combined and validation datasets. These genes also demonstrated better diagnostic power, with AUC greater than 0.7 in both the combined and validation datasets. Immune cell infiltration analysis revealed differences in the abundance of most immune cells between DCM and normal samples. Conclusion: The current findings indicate an underlying association between DCM and these key genes, which could serve as potential biomarkers for diagnosing and treating DCM.

11.
Front Bioeng Biotechnol ; 11: 1215466, 2023.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37720320

RESUMO

The rapid diagnosis of pathogenic infections plays a vital role in disease prevention, control, and public health safety. Recombinase-aided amplification (RAA) is an innovative isothermal nucleic acid amplification technology capable of fast DNA or RNA amplification at low temperatures. RAA offers advantages such as simplicity, speed, precision, energy efficiency, and convenient operation. This technology relies on four essential components: recombinase, single-stranded DNA-binding protein (SSB), DNA polymerase, and deoxyribonucleoside triphosphates, which collectively replace the laborious thermal cycling process of traditional polymerase chain reaction (PCR). In recent years, the CRISPR-Cas (clustered regularly interspaced short palindromic repeats-associated proteins) system, a groundbreaking genome engineering tool, has garnered widespread attention across biotechnology, agriculture, and medicine. Increasingly, researchers have integrated the recombinase polymerase amplification system (or RAA system) with CRISPR technology, enabling more convenient and intuitive determination of detection results. This integration has significantly expanded the application of RAA in pathogen detection. The step-by-step operation of these two systems has been successfully employed for molecular diagnosis of pathogenic microbes, while the single-tube one-step method holds promise for efficient pathogen detection. This paper provides a comprehensive review of RAA combined with CRISPR-Cas and its applications in pathogen detection, aiming to serve as a valuable reference for further research in related fields.

12.
Innovation (Camb) ; 4(5): 100499, 2023 Sep 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37705606
13.
iScience ; 26(9): 107590, 2023 Sep 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37705958

RESUMO

ChatGPT is an artificial intelligence product developed by OpenAI. This study aims to investigate whether ChatGPT can respond in accordance with evidence-based medicine in neurosurgery. We generated 50 neurosurgical questions covering neurosurgical diseases. Each question was posed three times to GPT-3.5 and GPT-4.0. We also recruited three neurosurgeons with high, middle, and low seniority to respond to questions. The results were analyzed regarding ChatGPT's overall performance score, mean scores by the items' specialty classification, and question type. In conclusion, GPT-3.5's ability to respond in accordance with evidence-based medicine was comparable to that of neurosurgeons with low seniority, and GPT-4.0's ability was comparable to that of neurosurgeons with high seniority. Although ChatGPT is yet to be comparable to a neurosurgeon with high seniority, future upgrades could enhance its performance and abilities.

15.
Sci Rep ; 13(1): 13782, 2023 08 23.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37612344

RESUMO

Acute ischemic stroke (AIS) is a most prevalent cause of serious long-term disability worldwide. Accurate prediction of stroke prognosis is highly valuable for effective intervention and treatment. As such, the present retrospective study aims to provide a reliable machine learning-based model for prognosis prediction in AIS patients. Data from AIS patients were collected retrospectively from the Second Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University between August 2017 and July 2019. Independent prognostic factors were identified by univariate and multivariate logistic analysis and used to develop machine learning (ML) models. The ML model performance was assessed by area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and radar plot. Shapley Additive explanations (SHAP) values were used to interpret the importance of all features included in the predictive model. A total of 677 AIS patients were included in the present study. Poor prognosis was observed in 209 patients (30.9%). Six variables, including neuron specific enolase (NSE), homocysteine (HCY), S-100ß, dysphagia, C-reactive protein (CRP), and anticoagulation were included to establish ML models. Six different ML algorithms were tested, and Random Forest model was selected as the final predictive model with the greatest AUC of 0.908. Moreover, according to SHAP results, NSE impacted the predictive model the most, followed by HCY, S-100ß, dysphagia, CRP and anticoagulation. Based on the RF model, an online tool was constructed to predict the prognosis of AIS patients and assist clinicians in optimizing patient treatment. The present study revealed that NSE, HCY, CRP, S-100ß, anticoagulation, and dysphagia were important factors for poor prognosis in AIS patients. ML algorithms were used to develop predictive models for predicting the prognosis of AIS patients, with the RF model presenting the optimal performance.


Assuntos
Transtornos de Deglutição , AVC Isquêmico , Humanos , Prognóstico , AVC Isquêmico/diagnóstico , Estudos Retrospectivos , Subunidade beta da Proteína Ligante de Cálcio S100 , Proteína C-Reativa , Homocisteína , Aprendizado de Máquina , Medição de Risco , Anticoagulantes
16.
Front Neurol ; 14: 1185447, 2023.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37614971

RESUMO

Background: Timely and accurate outcome prediction plays a critical role in guiding clinical decisions for hypertensive ischemic or hemorrhagic stroke patients admitted to the ICU. However, interpreting and translating the predictive models into clinical applications are as important as the prediction itself. This study aimed to develop an interpretable machine learning (IML) model that accurately predicts 28-day all-cause mortality in hypertensive ischemic or hemorrhagic stroke patients. Methods: A total of 4,274 hypertensive ischemic or hemorrhagic stroke patients admitted to the ICU in the USA from multicenter cohorts were included in this study to develop and validate the IML model. Five machine learning (ML) models were developed, including artificial neural network (ANN), gradient boosting machine (GBM), eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), logistic regression (LR), and support vector machine (SVM), to predict mortality using the MIMIC-IV and eICU-CRD database in the USA. Feature selection was performed using the Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) algorithm. Model performance was evaluated based on the area under the curve (AUC), accuracy, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV). The ML model with the best predictive performance was selected for interpretability analysis. Finally, the SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) method was employed to evaluate the risk of all-cause in-hospital mortality among hypertensive ischemic or hemorrhagic stroke patients admitted to the ICU. Results: The XGBoost model demonstrated the best predictive performance, with the AUC values of 0.822, 0.739, and 0.700 in the training, test, and external cohorts, respectively. The analysis of feature importance revealed that age, ethnicity, white blood cell (WBC), hyperlipidemia, mean corpuscular volume (MCV), glucose, pulse oximeter oxygen saturation (SpO2), serum calcium, red blood cell distribution width (RDW), blood urea nitrogen (BUN), and bicarbonate were the 11 most important features. The SHAP plots were employed to interpret the XGBoost model. Conclusions: The XGBoost model accurately predicted 28-day all-cause in-hospital mortality among hypertensive ischemic or hemorrhagic stroke patients admitted to the ICU. The SHAP method can provide explicit explanations of personalized risk prediction, which can aid physicians in understanding the model.

18.
Nutr Metab Cardiovasc Dis ; 33(10): 1878-1887, 2023 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37500347

RESUMO

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Heart failure (HF) imposes significant global health costs due to its high incidence, readmission, and mortality rate. Accurate assessment of readmission risk and precise interventions have become important measures to improve health for patients with HF. Therefore, this study aimed to develop a machine learning (ML) model to predict 30-day unplanned readmissions in older patients with HF. METHODS AND RESULTS: This study collected data on hospitalized older patients with HF from the medical data platform of Chongqing Medical University from January 1, 2012, to December 31, 2021. A total of 5 candidate algorithms were selected from 15 ML algorithms with excellent performance, which was evaluated by area under the operating characteristic curve (AUC) and accuracy. Then, the 5 candidate algorithms were hyperparameter tuned by 5-fold cross-validation grid search, and performance was evaluated by AUC, accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and recall. Finally, an optimal ML model was constructed, and the predictive results were explained using the SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) framework. A total of 14,843 older patients with HF were consecutively enrolled. CatBoost model was selected as the best prediction model, and AUC was 0.732, with 0.712 accuracy, 0.619 sensitivity, and 0.722 specificity. NT.proBNP, length of stay (LOS), triglycerides, blood phosphorus, blood potassium, and lactate dehydrogenase had the greatest effect on 30-day unplanned readmission in older patients with HF, according to SHAP results. CONCLUSIONS: The study developed a CatBoost model to predict the risk of unplanned 30-day special-cause readmission in older patients with HF, which showed more significant performance compared with the traditional logistic regression model.


Assuntos
Insuficiência Cardíaca , Readmissão do Paciente , Humanos , Idoso , Estudos Retrospectivos , Insuficiência Cardíaca/diagnóstico , Insuficiência Cardíaca/epidemiologia , Insuficiência Cardíaca/terapia , Tempo de Internação , Modelos Logísticos
19.
Front Endocrinol (Lausanne) ; 14: 1184173, 2023.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37305041

RESUMO

Background: The use of surgery is controversial in patients with stage T3 or T4 triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC). We aimed to explore the effect of surgical treatment on overall survival (OS) of these patients. Methods: A total of 2,041 patients were selected and divided into the surgical and non-surgical groups based on the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database from 2010 to 2018. Propensity score matching (PSM) and inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) were applied to balance covariates between different groups. The OS of the two groups were assessed by Kaplan-Meier survival curves and Cox proportional hazards regression models. Results: A total of 2,041 patients were included in the study. After PSM and IPTW, baseline characteristics of the matched variables were fully balanced. Kaplan-Meier survival curves showed that the median survival time and OS of TNBC patients with stage T3 or T4 in the surgical group were significantly improved compared with those in the non-surgical group. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis showed that surgery was a protective factor for prognosis. Conclusion: Our study found that surgery prolonged the median survival and improved OS compared with the non-surgical group of TNBC patients with stage T3 or T4.


Assuntos
Neoplasias de Mama Triplo Negativas , Humanos , Neoplasias de Mama Triplo Negativas/cirurgia , Bases de Dados Factuais , Estimativa de Kaplan-Meier , Análise Multivariada , Pontuação de Propensão
20.
Front Endocrinol (Lausanne) ; 14: 1086924, 2023.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37206442

RESUMO

Objectives: This study aimed to investigate whether the FSH (follicle-stimulating hormone)/LH (Luteinizing hormone) ratio correlates with ovarian response in a cross-sectional retrospective study of a population with normal levels of anti-Müllerian hormone (AMH). Methods: This was a retrospective cross-sectional study with data obtained from medical records from March 2019 to December 2019 at the reproductive center in the Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University. The Spearmans correlation test evaluated correlations between Ovarian sensitivity index (OSI) and other parameters. The relationship between basal FSH/LH and ovarian response was analyzed using smoothed curve fitting to find the threshold or saturation point for the population with mean AMH level (1.1

Assuntos
Hormônio Foliculoestimulante , Folículo Ovariano , Feminino , Animais , Estudos Retrospectivos , Estudos Transversais , Técnicas de Reprodução Assistida , Hormônio Foliculoestimulante Humano
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